South Africa socioeconomic scenario model

FutureSIM

Explore how economic conditions and policy choices could shape South Africa’s socioeconomic trajectory over the next decade.

Open FutureSIM Model
Interactive model hosted on here.now.
Adjust selected economic drivers and policy settings, then view simulated pathways for growth, income, jobs, unemployment, foreign investment and manufacturing.

What FutureSIM does

FutureSIM is an interactive socioeconomic scenario model for South Africa. It allows users to adjust selected economic drivers and policy choices, then view how those assumptions could affect GDP growth, GDP per capita, job creation, unemployment, foreign direct investment and manufacturing as a share of GDP.

South Africa’s economic future will not be shaped by one variable or one policy alone. Growth, employment, investment and industrial development are affected by how interest rates, inflation, electricity reliability, taxes, investor confidence, labour-market conditions and policy choices interact over time.

How it works

Adjust economic driversChange first-order assumptions such as inflation, interest rates, electricity reliability, infrastructure investment, FDI conditions and logistics reliability.
Choose policy settingsTest policy choices using simple options such as keep, reform, remove, partial change or full change where appropriate.
View simulated outcomesThe model updates six graphs and a plain-English scenario interpretation to show possible ten-year pathways.

What the model shows

Real GDP growthWhether the modelled economy accelerates or slows.
GDP per capitaHow economic output per person could move over time.
Jobs createdNet employment change under the selected scenario.
Unemployment rateThe modelled unemployment pathway.
Foreign direct investmentHow investment conditions could affect FDI inflows.
Manufacturing as % of GDPWhether South Africa’s productive base expands or weakens.

Important limitation

FutureSIM is an exploratory scenario tool. It is designed to help users think more clearly about trade-offs, consequences and possible future pathways. It is not an official forecast, financial advice, investment advice or a prediction of what will definitely happen.

Model outputs depend on assumptions, simplified relationships and the selected scenario. They should be read as structured scenario analysis, not certainty.

Open the model

Use the interactive model to build your own South African socioeconomic scenario.

Launch FutureSIM on here.now